Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 8.052523 9.064638 10.116169 11.287058 12.551248 13.871952 15.352878
2024-11-03 6.557985 8.006092 9.594015 11.451435 13.551307 15.838935 18.506523
2024-11-10 5.681848 7.368769 9.292900 11.623050 14.341324 17.385915 21.026876
2024-11-17 4.866643 6.674641 8.812136 11.481343 14.680564 18.348640 22.827694
2024-11-24 4.305198 6.209890 8.534471 11.515431 15.171126 19.444838 24.753214
2024-12-01 3.807881 5.767107 8.231890 11.471881 15.529385 20.356510 26.443719
2024-12-08 3.401039 5.397544 7.982299 11.458760 15.896148 21.258563 28.111968
2024-12-15 3.294873 5.416928 8.223612 12.062474 17.030294 23.101166 30.933733
2024-12-22 2.980625 5.117628 8.018508 12.066618 17.390873 23.982655 32.580772
2024-12-29 2.892188 5.129638 8.225833 12.610083 18.444071 25.734232 35.316955
2025-01-05 2.747146 5.044429 8.288774 12.953401 19.235669 27.160893 37.660456
2025-01-12 2.437550 4.685020 7.944112 12.722260 19.256064 27.597110 38.755737
2025-01-19 2.067257 4.202459 7.399454 12.196268 18.873187 27.514616 39.204600
2025-01-26 1.925660 4.073955 7.363591 12.378683 19.444193 28.673205 41.251106
2025-02-02 1.797090 3.954644 7.331605 12.559263 20.009216 29.825286 43.296622
2025-02-09 1.602414 3.703540 7.081930 12.409584 20.106882 30.353786 44.531955
2025-02-16 1.467978 3.545034 6.964998 12.445603 20.457523 31.216952 46.207459
2025-02-23 1.328957 3.364015 6.800130 12.399578 20.684947 31.911427 47.662681
2025-03-02 1.209059 3.206383 6.662480 12.385711 20.952103 32.657356 49.188399
2025-03-09 1.218692 3.301425 6.945490 13.023505 22.167417 34.708223 52.470378
2025-03-16 1.114973 3.160595 6.824472 13.027882 22.459524 35.494179 54.065256
2025-03-23 1.114846 3.231035 7.064435 13.601596 23.590626 37.445502 57.240140
2025-03-30 1.079677 3.224813 7.170424 13.963826 24.413868 38.977633 59.861635